Natural Gas Supply Outlook
Natural Gas Supply Outlookfrom The Business Research Company deals with the supply chain for natural gas, from the production stage, through processing and transportation, to distribution and consumption by industrial and retail customers.
It describes and explains how gas supply works and its key features in the European, US and Chinese markets.
It then looks at the future for natural gas supply, under a range of future scenarios covering then next ten years, including an optimistic scenario where increased economic activity has driven up the price of energy, a ‘base’ scenario of activity remaining at recent levels and a negative scenario of low economic activity and energy prices. In each case it looks at the likely structure of natural gas supply in the different regions.
The reportNatural Gas Supply Outlook foresees the following factors affecting gas supply in the US, Western Europe and China in the next ten years.
US
Shale gas will account for nearly half of total US gas production by 2040.Production volumes will continue to grow because of increased drilling efficiencies and more shale gas fields coming on stream.
The increased production is expected to decrease the country’s dependence on imports from Canada. LNG exports from the US are expected to increase beginning 2016.
Use of natural gas in sectors other than electrical power production is expected to expand in the medium term. The fertilizer and chemical sector industries particularly are expected to start new projects driving long term demand.
Europe
Europe is likely to see declining local production and increasing imports from areas such as West Africa the US, Canada and North Africa, resulting in more LNG supply. Thus two thirds of Europe’s natural gas needs are expected to be met by imports by the year 2025. With local production volumes expected to decline, and issues over the security of Russian gas, LNG imports are projected to approximately double between 2014 and 2020.
Due to the rise in investments in infrastructure, in particular new pipeline projects and the increased use of LNG, gas prices in Europe are likely to increase up to 2020. Prices are expected to stabilise beyond 2020.
Increases in natural gas consumption in Europe will be driven mainly by demand from the residential-commercial and industrial sectors from southern Europe and Turkey in 2015-25.
China
China’s National Energy Administration (NEA) set the 2020 production target of shale gas at 30 billion cubic meters (1 trillion cubic feet), however TBRC believes much of China’s unconventional gas reserves may prove difficult to exploit during this time frame.
By 2020, pipelines from Central Asia, Myanmar, Russia and imported liquefied natural gas mainly from Qatar and Australia are expected to play a major role in supplying a large part of China’s gas.
As China tries to wean itself from its use of cheap coal gas is likely to play a larger part in the energy consumption mix. The Chinese government expects to increase natural gas’s share of total energy consumption to around 8% by the end of 2015 and to 10% by 2020. BP plc predicts that China’s natural gas consumption will rise 270% by 2035.
Table of Contents
Natural Gas Supply Outlook
Introduction
Notes on the Scope of the Report
The Natural Gas Supply Chain
The Natural Gas Supply Chain In The North American Market
Production
Geographies
Processing
Shipping
Price
Distribution
Marketing
The Natural Gas Supply Chain In The European Market
Production
Geographies
Processing
Shipping
Price
Distribution
Marketing
The Natural Gas Supply Chain In China
Production
Processing
Shipping
Distribution
Price
Gas Market Scenario Forecasts to 2025 Based on Different Economic Scenarios
Natural Gas Supply Chain in the North American Market To 2025
North American Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Medium Economic Scenario
North American Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Positive Economic Scenario
North American Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Negative Economic Scenario
Natural Gas Supply Chain in the European Market To 2025
Europe Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Stable Economic Scenario
Europe Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Positive Economic Scenario
Europe Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Negative Economic Scenario
Natural Gas Supply Chain in China Market in 2025
China Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Stable Economic Scenario
China Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Positive Economic Scenario
China Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Negative Economic Scenario
Appendix
Research Methodology
Chronological Scope
Quantification
Terms
Abbreviations
Currencies
Primary Research
Research Enquiries
The Business Research Company
Methodology
Information for this report was gathered from trade journals, research analyst reports, news stories, patent reports, company marketing and technical materials, and company financial reports. Primary research was conducted through the creation of an appropriate panel of experts, including senior figures in natural gas companies to give commercial insight and research and academic experts to inform the forward looking analysis. More than 7 experts were interviewed for the report and are listed in the sourcing of the report.
The report was authored by a Consultant with more than 8 years’ experience in industry research and analysis.
About The Report
Natural Gas Supply Outlook is a detailed report giving a unique insight into this market. The report is priced at $5000.
About the Business Research Company
Visit TheBusinessResearchCompany.com, mail [email protected] or call +447443439350 or +918897263534 for more information on this and many other titles.
The Business Research Company is a market research and intelligence company which excels in company, market and consumer research. It has research professionals at its offices in the UK, India and the US as well a network of trained researchers globally. It has specialist consultants in a wide range of industries including manufacturing, healthcare, chemicals and technology.
The Business Research Company's management have more than 20 years of varied business research experience. They have delivered hundreds of research projects to the senior management of some of the world's largest organizations.
Disclaimer: Please note that the facts of this report are believed to be correct at the time of publication but cannot be guaranteed. Analysis and findings included in The Business Research Company reports and presentations are the company’s opinions, and are not intended as statements of fact or investment guidance.