MMA betting is all about matchups and who they are fighting that day. If a fighter has lost 2 in a row n but he has fought top level guys that the oddsmakers will look at those stats and set soft lines for that fighter since they see he has lost recently. But what if that fighter is a striker and fought two high level grapplers and now he is fighting another striker. For example, at UFC 104 Machida vs. Rua, Chael Sonnen was pretty big underdog versus Yushin "Thunder"Okami at +185. He was only a betting underdog because he lost his last fight versus Demain Maia quickly. However, Maia is a top level grappler and Okami is not but the sports book [out] oddsmakers have no idea how to set the lines.

Marketing also plays a big example. Just look at the fight between Anderson Silva versus Chris Leben. Not many oddsmakers knew who Anderson Silva was but because he was on the Ultimate Fighter reality show he was a betting favourite versus Silva. This still occurs to this day as many fighters on the reality show get soft lines just because they have been seen by many people. If you study MMA, you can really make a good profit from betting on mixed martial arts.

Also unlike many other sports MMA is strictly moneyline bets. You don`t have to worry about point spread anymore. In sports like the NFL, NBA or MLB you might win the bet as you pick the right team but you lose your money since you did not beat the spread.



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