How do you predict a draw in soccer?


Posted March 6, 2020 by soccerjon

It can be easy to predict a draw if the match is between two equally strong and skillful teams, after having adjusted all the other factors

As already mentioned, soccer is a fascinating game where both skills and chance have important roles to play in the outcome and all the mini-events such as the number of goals scored, corners, cards, and others. There is a unique area where football is different from other sports – the chance of a draw. The chance of a draw is much higher in soccer compare to other sports. Our verified tips on match results take into account a wide range of factors when predicting a draw.

It can be easy to predict a draw if the match is between two equally strong and skillful teams, after having adjusted all the other factors. However, our verified soccer tips will take many other factors into account when predicting a draw.

Extreme Performances

The best soccer prediction sites in the world have in-depth knowledge of the clubs that are likely to deliver extreme performances. We evaluate past data to look at teams that have higher chances of their matches ending up in draws. For example, West Bromwich, Aston Villa, and Stoke have had a history of getting most draws in the decade following 2006.

Calculation of Chances of Draw

The following example should shed light on how the chances of draws can be calculated for a given match.

●      EPL matches have an average of 2.5 goals being scored between two clubs of almost equal caliber.

●      Going by this average, it is estimated that both the sides have a 29% chance that they may not score.

●      There is an 8% probability of the match ending with a score of 0-0.

●      There is a 13% probability that a match will end up with 1-1 on the scoreboard.

When the probabilities are calculated for all the potential scores in the situation of a draw, the probabilities need to be added to come up with the chance of a draw. In the above-mentioned example, this probability comes to 27%. It refers to the chance of a draw in the EPL.

soccer prediction sites where the tipsters verified prediction for goals is even lesser, there is a higher chance that the scores will be lower on each side. This further increases the chances of the match ending up in a draw.

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Last Updated March 6, 2020