Commodity Report Ways2Capital 16 March 2015


Posted March 18, 2015 by ways2capital

US unemployed data dropped to a more than six-and-a-half-year low in Feb. ECB to purchase €60 billion dollars as part of QE program nowadays. Japan’s economic system improved 0.4 % in it all one fourth.

 
✍ MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ INTERNATIONAL NEWS
US unemployed data dropped to a more than six-and-a-half-year low in Feb.
ECB to purchase €60 billion dollars as part of QE program nowadays. Japan’s economic system improved 0.4 % in it all one fourth.
QE in European reinforced benefits in the dollar. The currency moved a every week high of 97.76 and closed at 97.6 on Saturday.
1. US Non-Farm Employment Change for the 30 days of Feb came out to be positive as compared to its previous month’s launch. The unemployment data declined to 5.5% for the 30 days of Feb reduced as against 5.7% for the 30 days of Jan.
The Indian Rupee decreased by 1.3 percent last week due to strength in the DX. Also, state-owned financial institutions purchased the US forex, likely on part of the Source Financial institution RBI as the central bank desired to prevent the rupee from increasing considerably.
The US Dollar Catalog (DX) hopped by 2.4 % last week as effective information improved objectives of amount increase a few months ago.
However, India's services industry extended outcome to range an eight-month high in Feb, led by a increase in new purchases on enhancing household demand limited distinct fall. The RBI reduced its policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.5 %, its second inter-meeting reduce this year on the back of reducing increasing prices and a govt dedication to financial self-discipline. The currency moved a every week low of 62.452 and closed at 62.45 on Saturday.

✍ PRECIOUS METAL
Gold price exchanged lower for most of the a couple weeks ago on good financial information from the US. Data on Wed revealed U.S. personal companies included 212,000 tasks in Feb, while January's personal payrolls were improved up-wards to 250,000.
Holdings in SPDR Gold Believe in, the world's greatest gold-backed exchange-traded finance, dropped 0.35 % to 760.80 loads on Wednesday. That followed a near 8-tonne fall on Thursday, the greatest output this year.
Seven of the Fed's 17 members have said they at least want the option of a rate development of July on the desk, or have forced in common for an previously increase in the anticipations that salaries and rising prices will turn higher.
On the MCX, Gold price dropped by 0.82 % a couple weeks ago and shut at Rs.26012/10 gms.

✍ SILVER
Silver price in the worldwide marketplaces traded reduced and dropped heavily at the end of the 7 days. Strength in the dollar index on account of excellent financial information from the US applied downside pressure.
Spot silver price in the worldwide marketplaces rose by 4.46 % and shut at $15.86/oz. On the MCX, silver price dropped by 1.16 % and shut at Rs.35972/kg.
On the MCX, precious metals price will business reduced taking hints from weak worldwide marketplaces.

✍ ENERGY
Oil price interchanged reduced several weeks ago with NYMEX WTI dropping extremely on benefit booking at greater levels although the major details and developments were valuable for oil markets
OPEC member Iran forced that it in comparison a routine for a secure up on nuclear activities, details that helped raw restoration from an early slide connected with swelling U.S. stockpiles.
Comments from Saudi Arabia's oil reverend that price ought to enhance from the sell off of latest months also helped put a floor under costs.
Encouragement from the Govt Reserve's Well done Evaluation anticipating decreases in investment costs for oil and gas producers in certain U.S. areas. Lower oil finding costs could mean less supply in the future.
Higher price required by Saudi on its customers in Asia, the U. s. States and northern western Europe was another valuable growth.
Last 7 days, WTI oil price in the globally market segments decreased by 0.3 % and closed at $49.61/bbl. On the MCX, raw costs improved by 3.43 % and closed at Rs.3138/bbl.

✍ OIL RIGS IN THE US LOWEST SINCE 2011
The number of rigs drilling for oil in the United States fell by 64 this week to 922, the smallest number of rigs in operation since April 2011, Baker Hughes said in its weekly survey.
It was a sign U.S. shale oil producers, who had flooded the market with crude supplies, had again stepped up on winding down output after last week's rig drop of 33, which was the least since the start of 2015. (Reuters)
On the MCX, oil prices are expected to trade sideways taking cues from international markets


✍ BASE METAL
Base materials on the LME except Dime and Lead exchanged lower a couple weeks ago as strong jobs information launched from the US raised amount increase objectives. While on the other hand, amount cut by Chinese suppliers to boost development in the flagging economic system will be helpful. In the Indian markets, base materials higher in line with international styles.
Copper down by 2.8 % a couple weeks ago as China's Leading Li Keqiang saying that the world's second-largest economic system would target development this year of around 7 %, signaling the smallest development for a quarter of a century.Also, strength in the DX after effective employment information from the US applied disadvantage pressure on costs.
MCX copper price dropped by 0.9 % and closed at Rs.366/kg on Saturday but Rupee devaluation limited sharp fall.
We expect Copper prices to trade lower as the US jobless rate fell to a more than six-and-a-half-year low, which could encourage the Federal Reserve to consider raising interest rates in June. Also, top officials in China highlighted the growth and debt challenges the country faces in 2015.
On the MCX, copper prices are expected to trade sideways owing to Rupee depreciation.


NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ JEERA
Jeera futures closed higher by 1.34 % in last dealing period on excellent purchasing assistance by the industry members after fall in two past dealing classes. Further increase in cost is assigned due to provide stress in identify industry from the new year plants. There are reviews of plants harm of the new year plants due to unseasonal down pours in Gujarat and Rajasthan.
Export purchases are redirected to Indian due to Geo-political stress in Syria and Poultry. .Jeera (cumin) exports have been 87,500 loads in the first six months (Apr-Sep) of 2014-15, a increase of 25% from the corresponding period of the past (Source: Spices or herbs Board)
According to Gujarat govt information launched on Nineteenth Jan 15, Jeera documented 2.64 lakh hac, 42% less planting in comparison to last year’s 4.54 lakh hac. The provides of Jeera predicted to development of the next 30 days due to appearance of new year plants.
Jeera futures dealing may business on combined to beneficial observe, as there is excellent requirement from exporters as well as suppliers and suppliers at industry costs on expectation of smaller routes in coming 30 days on expectation of lower manufacturing. However, appearance stress may cap the cost increase.

✍ CHANA
NCDEX Chana Apr. futures trading closed higher on Friday by 0.16% on buying support at affordable price . Low household requirement assigned further increase in cost. Latest unseasonal down pours in increasing places might have affected the manufacturing and increasing of plants. As per the Government information, Chana has planted over 85.91 lakh hectares, which is 16 % less as on Feb 13, 2015 as in comparison to last year’s 102.25 lakh hac. Whereas, place protection under complete Impulses is at 145.92 lakh hectares while the last year’s planting place protection was 162.21 lakh hectares
Chana futures expected to trade mixed note in the coming days due to low supplies as new crop likely to hit the local markets. Overall sentiments look positive for Chana amid expected lower output and duty-free imports allowed till Mar 2015

✍ SOYABEAN
NCDEX Soy bean Apr futures trading closed 0.59% decline on Friday on reduced household requirement amongst no trade requirement for the oil food and oil.India's oil food exports is expected to drop about 40 % in 2014/15 due to reduced requirement for soymeal as key customers like Iran and Asia change to less expensive provides from South America. In Jan 2015, Soymeal exports dropped by more than 71 % to 104,426 loads against 364,443 loads in the same 30 days a year ago.
U.S. soy beans dropped more than 1 percent in a technological sell-off stimulated by a dissipating truck drivers attack in South america. International soybean manufacturing was brought up 700,000 plenty to a history 315.1 thousand. Leads for the Argentina soybean plants have enhanced with adequate wetness and light temperature ranges, and the plants is estimated at a history 56 thousand plenty.
Soybean exports for 2014-15 are estimated at 1.790 billion dollars bushels, up 20 thousand bushels. Soy bean finishing shares are estimated at 385 thousand bushels, down 25 thousand from last 30 days.
Soybean futures trading may trade on a combined note on gradual requirement for oil and oil food exports but good buying support at affordable costs might maintain the costs.

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Last Updated March 18, 2015