Zak Crawley and Jos Buttler have ensured that England cannot lose this match on Day 5 with Pakistan trailing by 210 runs and England's 2nd innings still left. If they can pick 8 wickets before Pakistan scores these 210 runs, they win by an innings margin. However, Pakistan's mission will be to prevent an English win and salvage some pride by drawing this Test match. They need to bat for a minimum of 90 overs to do this. Can they do it?
Who are the favourites?
Pakistan needs to prevent England from winning this Test match or even a draw to draw the series 1-1. It is easier said than done and face an uphill task. Buttler and Crawley almost ensured that England won't lose this match. Albeit England is missing the services of their talisman Ben Stokes, they have a formidable squad and have better experience in these testing conditions. Their morale is high after the win in the 1st Test and will be upbeat to carry the momentum forward. There are a few reasons why England will be the hot favourites to win this Test match and clinch the series-
1) The bench strength of England is superior to that of Pakistan. They have players with similar skill sets to replace the regular ones.
2) Potent first-change bowlers- Chris Woakes and Jofra Archer are the perfect first-change bowlers to complement the likes of Broad and Anderson. With minimal loose balls, they will make the Pakistani batsmen work harder for runs with their immaculate accuracy and prowess.
3) England has momentum on its side. The last time a team managed to beat England in England in a Test series was Sri Lanka in 2014. They have managed to keep every visiting team quiet.
4) England is much more experienced in these conditions. Also, their record at the Rose Bowl in Tests is enviable this century.
Scorecard Predictions for Day 5
Pakistan will be all out for 250, meaning that England will win by an innings and 60 runs.
Expect the captain winning the toss to bat first even if there are some cloud covers and a green top. The average first-innings score is 273. Also, another factor is that the average fourth-innings score is 180 which prompts the skipper winning the toss to bat first and put the opposition under pressure in the last innings.
Match Winning Chances
England will be buoyed by its performance at the same venue twice against the West Indies. Expect no difference this time around as well. They are better equipped to clinch the 3rd Test and clinch the series 2-zip.