Commodities and the Global Macro Economic Picture for Traders


Posted December 16, 2016 by MarcTRomero

The largest group of traders are definitely the upstairs trader, or traders that are not on the floor of the exchange. Some have floor experience while others do not.

 
Commodity traders are not a bunch of overpaid taxi drivers. Instead they are a very sophisticated group of investors looking to gauge the supply and demand characteristics of both global demand and the specific demand for each and every commodity that they trade, and some that they don't. In addition there is more than one type of trader.

The largest group of traders are definitely the upstairs trader, or traders that are not on the floor of the exchange. Some have floor experience while others do not. The largest group of these are systematic long term trend followers while there are smaller subsets that do purely fundamental and others a hybrid model.

Global macro traders are the next major group of players in the commodity markets. Some are heavily involved and some barely trade them but all macro traders track the commodity markets to give them a better look into the world’s macro economic situation.

For instance if oil is rising like we saw in 2008 then you have to look to see what businesses are going to get hurt and what will benefit from higher oil prices. Obviously oil companies will make more money but what about shorting airlines? Or maybe even going long railroad companies. As you can tell there are endless ideas of who is affected and who is not.

Another heavily monitored sector is that of precious metals. Gold and silver are great historic gauges of inflation and these days also act as alternative currencies since the Fiat currencies are all in shambles. If you aren't following gold then good luck trading bonds and the US Dollar. Yes, this stuff is that important.

Industrial metals are also a big deal as almost everything you buy or use has some type of metal in it. Copper for electrical wires, lead for batteries, aluminium for cans, etc. The list is virtually endless and between the MERC, the NYMEX, and the LME you can trade basically all of it. If you aren't tracking industrial metals then you are not pricing out the number one cost for most manufacturing and industrial companies.

While many investors gloss over the agricultural commodities they shouldn't. In the future agricultural commodities will only be increasing in importance as the worlds water supplies continue to diminish. If you are already monitoring demographic trends and overall supply demand you should also be following agricultural commodities.

Obviously commodities are a huge component of the global economy. Not only can you make some great trades in these markets but you can also get a better picture of what will be happening in other asset classes, kind of like the missing pieces of the puzzle.

Ebele Kemery is a Commodities Leader, a member of the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities (GFICC) Group.
Ms. Ebele Kemery has a track record of consistently profitable trading efforts, and expanded business through understanding of client needs and developing customized solutions that leverage a wide variety of techniques and market intricacies.
Visit: https://issuu.com/ebele-kemery
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Issued By Ebele Kemery
Website https://ebelekemery.wordpress.com/
Country United States
Categories Business
Tags commodities , ebele kemery , global macro economic
Last Updated December 16, 2016