The recent market rally -- the Dow up almost 9% since the Presidential Election -- is higher than any President-elect since Eisenhower in the post-World War II era. The next closest market gain occurred under JFK. Between Election Day and Inauguration Day, 4 Presidents-elect saw increases and 5 saw declines.
Will this higher than historical performance continue next year? Looking at historical results, we can measure how much markets increased during the first full year of a Presidency, and examine first-year Presidents as a subset. If the market continues to outperform historical averages under President Trump, we can then use an estimated finish point for 2016, and project where we think the market will wind up at the end of 2017.
See this article for all the details: https://niume.com/post/195320
Note: None of the information or insights presented are intended to be advice or investment recommendations. We simply present an analysis of historical data and project key measures forward into the future.