TRAFALGAR SQUARE, LONDON., February 26, 2021

One mistake that most betters do is focusing so much on home-ground advantage. It is not all the time that you get teams winning on their own field. College football is not like baseball where betters place their bets on the moneyline. College football playoffs are more of a spread and over/under sport. That said, we have listed down a few college football betting tips to help you win big this season. Let’s look at them now.

1. Don’t Count so Much on Home-Field Advantage
There are several advantages that come with teams playing on their home fields. One of them is less fatigue from traveling to a hostile environment and fans. Playing at home boosts the team's morale due to familiar grounds and its own fan cheering. There are many home-field benefits in sports betting and odds-makers know this very well. That is why most of them will topically award three points on average to teams playing in their own home-field. Odds-makers in college football playoffs will shade lines towards recreational bettors because they love betting home teams. This leads to home bettors taking bad, overpriced numbers.

The trend has remained since 2005, where 58.9% of games played by home teams have won. It is a different ball game, however, when it comes to covering the spread.

2. Low Totals on Road Underdogs
Besides the love of public bettors betting on home teams, they also live favorites. Even if your team is playing on their own field, it is not a wise move to bet on them if they are on a losing streak. This means that odds-makers will increase the value of underdogs, moreover, on-road dogs with low totals. There is one simple reason why low totals are beneficial to dogs – covering the spread is harder for favorites with fewer points. Familiarity allows conference dogs to perform better than non-conference dogs. They know each other’s tendencies since they play other conference teams once a year. The playing fields is leveled which is beneficial to the underdogs.

3. Short Road Underdogs
When road dogs have a short spread, that is when they profit the most. The dog will get four or fewer points. Although public betters love favorites, they love them even better when a touchdown or less gives them a win. This offers another way to take advantage of public bias. Placing a bet on short road dogs is another great betting strategy if they have to win straight up.

4. Heavily Bet Games on Home Teams Contrarian
The public is bound to lose more often than not, therefore, placing a bet against the public is a wise strategy in college football playoffs. Watch out, however, that you don’t take every team getting fewer than 50% of the bets. The heaviest amount of public action is what you need to focus on when you want to bet. Home teams are always preferred by the public bettors. This means that they are going to shift the other way to the heavy on the road team. This creates a unique contrarian value on the team playing on their home ground.

5. Reverse Line Movement Works on Heavily Bet Games
Finding reverse line movements offers one of the best, easiest ways is to look for sharp action. This refers to when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.

6. Bet On Home Favorites After a Bye
The home team gets the much needed much-needed rest and extra time to nurse injuries after a bye. The coaches are also offered enough time to prepare for the next team they are contesting with. This benefits the home team, since they don’t have to travel. Favorites are also favored because they play better and their coaches are also better trainers.

7. Hot Overs
Overs are loved by public bettors. People love rooting for excitement – a game that gives them that rush of adrenaline. Many sportsbooks know this and that’s why it will shade totals with the public. The defense gets gassed easily when it’s hot. This adds more points to the offense which they capitalize on.

8. Windy Unders
Always check the weather first before betting on over/under bets. On a windy day, the winds will have a great impact on the Under. The logic behind it is that college football playoffs quarterbacks have weaker arms than professional quarterbacks. Throwing in the wind is much harder for a college athlete than a professional quarterback. This means that teams run more than throw to chew up time. Another reason is that college kickers, even in perfect weather conditions, can’t kick well enough. The swirling winds will make the situation worse and they will either miss kicks wide left, wide right or short.

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